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Middle East war escalates on Day 25 as Iranian missiles hit Tel Aviv despite five-day US strike pause

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By Nana Karikari, Senior Global Affairs Correspondent

The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran entered its 25th day with a sudden shift in rhetoric from Washington. President Donald Trump announced a five-day postponement of his ultimatum to strike Iranian power plants. This decision followed his claim that the two nations reached “major points of agreement” during weekend discussions. Trump told reporters there are “15 points of agreement between the US and Iran after talks this weekend.” The move provided an immediate reprieve for global energy markets which had been bracing for an escalation in the Strait of Hormuz.

Tehran Rejects Claims of Diplomatic Breakthrough

Despite the optimistic tone from the White House, the Iranian government issued a swift and categorical denial of any formal engagement. Iran’s foreign ministry stated there was “no dialogue” between Tehran and Washington according to state-affiliated media. Officials in Tehran dismissed the President’s claims as a tactical maneuver designed to lower energy prices and stall for military preparations. A senior military adviser to the Supreme Leader clarified that the “war will continue until Tehran receives full compensation for damage it has sustained.”

Israel Maintains Military Pressure on Multiple Fronts

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu acknowledged the shift in U.S. strategy but signaled that Israeli operations would remain aggressive. Netanyahu stated that Trump believes there is an opportunity to turn military gains into an agreement that would “safeguard our vital interests.” Nevertheless, the Prime Minister confirmed that Israel will continue attacks in Iran and Lebanon. The Israeli military recently conducted a “wide-scale wave of strikes” on Iranian infrastructure. These operations targeted the headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and several military buildings in the heart of Tehran. On Tuesday, the IDF reported that a cluster missile from Iran struck the city of Nesher near Haifa.

Escalating Violence in the Occupied West Bank

While the international focus remains on the aerial exchange between nations, the humanitarian situation in the Palestinian territories is deteriorating. The Israeli military is currently diverting a combat battalion from the Lebanese border to the occupied West Bank. This redeployment follows a “wartime surge in settler violence against Palestinians.” The human rights group Yesh Din reported an average of 10 settler attacks per day since the start of March. This internal friction adds a complex layer of instability to the broader regional conflagration.

Global Markets and Supply Chain Strains

The announcement of a diplomatic window triggered a sharp reaction in international finance. Asian stocks rallied on Tuesday morning. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.9% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.4%. Global oil prices plummeted as the immediate threat to Iranian energy infrastructure receded. However, structural threats to global trade remain. Shippers have begun rerouting cargo to the Jeddah Islamic Port on the Red Sea. Officials expect a 50% increase in volume over the next month as the Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint.

International Community Pushes for De-Escalation

Regional and global powers are intensifying efforts to transform the five-day pause into a permanent ceasefire. Pakistan has offered to host tripartite talks involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. Turkey’s foreign minister engaged with over a dozen counterparts in the last 48 hours to coordinate a peace path. European leadership has also joined the call for restraint. The president of the European Commission stated on Tuesday it was “time to go to the negotiation table and end the hostilities” in Iran.

Asian Nations Implement Emergency Energy Measures

Several countries are taking drastic steps to manage the ongoing energy crisis. Sri Lanka has declared every Wednesday a public holiday to “proactively manage energy resources.” South Korea is pushing for a supplementary budget to assist citizens facing rising costs. In Japan, the government confirmed it would begin releasing oil from joint stockpiles by the end of March. New Zealand introduced weekly subsidies of $50 (GH₵545.50) for low-income families to offset the “pressure to household budgets” caused by the war.

China Intervenes to Shield Domestic Economy

Beijing has adjusted its fuel pricing mechanism to cushion the blow of the conflict. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) implemented “temporary regulatory measures” to limit domestic price hikes. Maximum retail prices were raised by $168 (GH₵1,832.88) per metric ton for gas. This is lower than the $320 (GH₵3,491.20) hike originally projected without intervention. NDRC official Lv Zhichen described the move as a crucial part of “safeguarding” China’s economy against the “abnormal rise in international oil prices.”

Sustained Combat and Civilian Impact

The military exchange continues to claim lives. Reports indicate the “number of people reported killed in Iran and Lebanon since the start of the conflict is now in the thousands.” In southern Israel, sirens sounded Tuesday around 10:17 AM GMT (6:17 AM local time). Debris from intercepted projectiles fell near Be’er Sheva and Arad. Meanwhile, the Iranian semi-official Fars News Agency reported Tehran is preparing action “targeting Tel Aviv and some regional allies of the US and Israel.” The human cost was highlighted by footage of the Iranian Red Crescent rescuing a child from the rubble of a residential building in Tehran.

Ghana and African Markets Face Inflationary Headwinds

The temporary dip in oil prices offers a slim margin of relief for African economies, particularly Ghana, which faces a “Hormuz risk premium” on imported fuel. Analysts at IC Group warn that while Ghana’s gold exports—which accounted for 67% of revenue in 2025—provide a buffer, a sustained oil shock could push the national import bill up by $2.4 billion (GH₵26.18 billion) in FY2026. The African Union (AU) has called for “urgent de-escalation,” warning that further conflict will have “serious implications for food security and economic resilience” across the continent. In Accra, businesses are already reassessing pricing strategies as fuel costs threaten to erode recent inflation gains.

With the five-day pause now in its second day, the international community remains caught between the White House’s optimism and Tehran’s defiance. While the current reprieve has stabilized global markets, the continued exchange of strikes and rising internal pressures in the West Bank suggest that a definitive diplomatic resolution remains elusive. The remaining window will determine if this pause is the foundation for a lasting peace or merely a tactical regrouping before a wider escalation.

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