By Felix Cofie
The New Patriotic Party (NPP) has significantly lost support among Ghana’s elite voters, according to recent polls by political analyst Mr. Mussa Dankwah. Speaking on GTV/GBC’s Current Agenda on Saturday July 19, Mr. Dankwah revealed that only 27 percent of voters with tertiary education now support the NPP—a drop from 35 percent in earlier polling cycles.
Meanwhile, the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) has made gains in this demographic, now commanding 43 percent of voters with tertiary education. “The NPP has lost a lot of its elite voter population,” Mr. Dankwah emphasized, describing the trend as a serious challenge for a party trying to maintain relevance in a changing political landscape.
Beyond voter sentiment, he expressed concern about growing unease within the NPP over the sequence and content of proposed internal reforms. Various camps aligned with the party’s presidential aspirants are reportedly worried that the party risks alienating more members if the reform process is not broadly consultative.
“If they don’t get the proposed amendments right, the repercussions will go beyond 2028,” Mr. Dankwah warned, suggesting that internal divisions could have long-term electoral consequences.
Using recent demographic data, he painted a picture of the party’s evolving support at the base:
• 18% of the population that voted in 2024 has only JHS education. Meanwhile, 31% of NPP delegates fall within this category.
• Only 17% of NPP delegates have tertiary education certificates compared to a national voter population ratio of 31% .
• 40% of the national voter population have SHS-level education compared to NPP’s 35% at the delegates level.
• On numbers that lack formal education, the NPP has 17% of its delegates within this category against a national ratio of 11%.
Mr. Dankwah stressed that for a party seeking to rebuild, “you must rebuild with broader consensus.” He implied that without urgent strategic recalibration, the NPP’s influence—especially among the educated and urban electorate—may continue to wane.
